报告人：Toh Mun  Heng博士(Department  of Strategy & Policy, National University of Singapore)

时     间：2013年7月13日（星期六） 上午8:30-11:30

地     点：主楼241报告厅

报告题目：CO2 Emission  and Responsibility for Singapore: A Study by Input-Output Technique

报告摘要：

As a  signatory to the Kyoto Protocol, Singapore has to play her parts in reducing CO2  emissions. The aim of this study is to estimate the amount of CO2 -the most  important greenhouse gas- emissions, for the Singapore economy. Using the  framework of the input-output model, the CO2 emissions in the Singapore economy  are evaluated from 3 perspectives: production, consumption and trade balance  standpoints. It is found that Singapore is a net importer of CO2. The impact of  a carbon tax was assessed under two scenarios. In the first scenarios,  industries are assumed to continue to use the same amount of fuel mix after the  tax imposition; and in the second scenario, the industries are assumed to make  adjustment to the inputs used according to the price elasticities obtained from  the KLEM model. Sectoral price changes can be larger or smaller than those under  the first scenario, though overall price level increase is smaller. Welfare  changes and expenditure inequalities are evaluated with the consumption pattern  assumed to follow the linear expenditure system (LES). The true cost of living,  which is the expenditure that keeps the utility level unchanged, is noted to  increase with the carbon tax. However, the distribution of consumption  expenditure, measured by the Gini coefficient, has become marginally smaller,  indicating improvement in equity.

报告人简介：

Dr. Toh Mun Heng is currently  lecturing at the Department of Strategy & Policy, National University of  Singapore. He obtained his doctoral degree in Economics and Econometrics from  the University of London, London School of Economics. His research interests and  publications are in the areas of econometric modeling, input-output analysis,  international trade and investment, human resource development, productivity  measurement, household economics and development strategies of emerging  economies in the Asia Pacific. He has co-authored and edited several titles such  as The Economics of Education and Manpower Development: Issues and Policies in  Singapore; Health Policies in Singapore; Economic Impact of the Withdrawal of  the GSP on Singapore; Challenge and Response: Thirty Years of the Economic  Development Board; Public Policies in Singapore: A Decade of Changes; ASEAN  Growth Triangles; Principles of Economics; Competitiveness of the Singapore  Economy; Production Networks and Industrial Clusters: Integrating Economies in  Southeast Asia.